25 ãéëì óïìîåþîïê áëôé÷îïóôé, ÷åô÷ø òïóôá: æáúá íáëóéíõíá óòåäîåíåóñþîïå íåöäõîáòïäîïå ïôîïóéôåìøîïå þéóìï óïìîåþîùè ðñôåî úá íáòô 2024 Ç. WÍÁÒÔ = 104.9 69.8 (× ÓÔÁÒÏÊ ÓÉÓÔÅÍÅ) þôï äá³ô äìñ 43 íåóñãá (2023, óåîôñâòø) òáú÷éôéñ ôåëõýåçï 25 ãéëìá óïìîåþîïê áëôé÷îïóôé óçìáöåîîïå óòåäîåíåóñþîïå þéóìï ðñôåî W*ÓÅÎ = 123.8 82.3 (× ÓÔÁÒÏÊ ÓÉÓÔÅÍÅ) W*Á×Ç = 124.0 82.5 (× ÓÔÁÒÏÊ ÓÉÓÔÅÍÅ) ó 1 ÉÀÌÑ 2015 Ç. ãÅÎÔÒ × âÒÀÓÓÅÌÅ ÐÅÒÅÛ£Ì ÎÁ ÎÏ×ÕÀ ÓÉÓÔÅÍÕ ÐÏÄÓÞ£ÔÁ ÏÔÎÏÓÉÔÅÌØÎÙÈ ÞÉÓÅÌ ÓÏÌÎÅÞÎÙÈ ÐÑÔÅÎ É, ÐÒÁËÔÉÞÅÓËÉ, ×ÓÅ ÚÎÁÞÅÎÉÑ ÓÍÅÎÉÌÉÓØ ×Ï ×Ó£Í ÐÒÏÎÕÍÅÒÏ×ÁÎÎÏÍ ÒÑÄÅ ÞÉÓÅÌ ÷ÏÌØÆÁ. [åÖÅÄÎÅ×ÎÏÅ, ÓÒÅÄÎÅÍÅÓÑÞÎÏÅ É ÓÇÌÁÖÅÎÎÏÅ ÚÎÁÞÅÎÉÑ W × ÓÔÁÒÏÊ ÓÉÓÔÅÍÅ, ÂÌÉÚËÉÅ Ë ÉÓÔÉÎÎÙÍ, ÍÏÖÎÏ ÐÏÌÕÞÉÔØ ÕÍÎÏÖÅÎÉÅÍ ÎÁ ËÏÜÆÆÉÃÉÅÎÔ k=0.665] îáþáìï 25 ãéëìá óïìîåþîïê áëôé÷îïóôé-ñî÷áòø 2020 Ç., W*min=1.8 (1.2Ó); ÷îéíáîéå!!! - ÔÏÞËÁ ÍÉÎÉÍÕÍÁ ÃÉËÌÁ - ÜÔÏ ÐÏÓÌÅÄÎÉÊ ÍÅÓÑà ×ÅÔ×É ÓÐÁÄÁ, É ÐÏÔÏÍÕ ÏÞÅÒÅÄÎÏÊ ÓÏÌÎÅÞÎÙÊ ÃÉËÌ ÎÁÞÉÎÁÅÔÓÑ ÓÏ ÓÌÅÄÕÀÝÅÇÏ ÍÅÓÑÃÁ ÐÏÓÌÅ ÔÏÞËÉ ÍÉÎÉÍÕÍÁ. æáúá íéîéíõíá 25 ãéëìá óá - 2020 01 - 2021 10; ÷òåíñ íáëóéíõíá ôåëõýåçï 25 ãéëìá óá - íáòô-éàîø 2024 Ç., W*max=135-150 (90-100Ó); ëïîåã 25 ãéëìá óïìîåþîïê áëôé÷îïóôé (ôïþëá íéîéíõíá) - I - VI 2031 Ç. åöåäîå÷îïå íåöäõîáòïäîïå ïôîïóéôåìøîïå þéóìï óïìîåþîùè ðñôåî úá íáòô 2024 Ç. óïçìáóîï äáîîùí 61 óïìîåþîïê ïâóåò÷áôïòéé: 1..119 6..101 11.. 75 16.. 63 21..162 26..141 31.. 66 2.. 97 7.. 97 12.. 84 17.. 74 22..164 27..114 3..101 8..102 13.. 81 18..119 23..157 28.. 98 4..109 9.. 95 14.. 70 19..134 24..166 29.. 81 5..111 10.. 77 15.. 53 20..124 25..167 30.. 50 óòåäîåíåóñþîùê îáâìàäáåíùê ðïôïë òáäéïéúìõþåîéñ îá 10.7 ÓÍ (2800 MHz) úá íáòô 2024 Ç. é óçìáöåîîùê úá óåîôñâòø 2023 Ç. F10.7ÍÁÒÔ = 154.4 F*10.7ÓÅÎ = óòåäîåíåóñþîùê áÒ-éîäåëó úá íáòô 2024 Ç. é óçìáöåîîùê úá óåîôñâòø 2023 Ç ðï äáîîùí çåïíáçîéôîïçï ãåîôòá ÷ ðïôóäáíå áÒ ÍÁÒÔ = 11.1 áÒ*ÓÅÎ = 9.7 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- 25 ãéëì óïìîåþîïê áëôé÷îïóôé, ÷åô÷ø òïóôá: æáúá íáëóéíõíá ïâúïò óïóôïñîéñ óïìîåþîïê áëôé÷îïóôé, çåïüææåëôé÷îùè ñ÷ìåîéê é éè ÷ïúäåêóô÷éê îá ïëïìïúåíîïå ëïóíéþåóëïå ðòïóôòáîóô÷ï îá ðåòéïä 25.03.2024 - 31.03.2024 Ç. é ðòïçîïú îá 01.04.2024 - 08.04.2024 Ç. ëüòòéîçôïîï÷óëéê ïâïòïô 2282(12,94.03.2024) úåíìñ ÷îå ðìïóëïóôé óïìîåþîïçï üë÷áôïòá(BÏ: (-6.9 - -6.7) ÇÒÁÄ) (ÚÏÎÁ ÇÅÏÜÆÆÅËÔÉ×ÎÏÓÔÉ S37 - N23) ðñôîïïâòáúï÷áôåìøîáñ áëôé÷îïóôø óïìîãá óîéöáìáóø ïô ÷ùóïëïçï äï îéúëïçï õòï÷îåê. òáóþ³ôîïå óòåäîåå úîáþåîéå íåöäõîáòïäîïçï ïôîïóéôåìøîïçï þéóìá óïìîåþîùè ðñôåî úá ðåòéïä óïóôá÷éìï W=102+61/-52 (WÓ=068+40/-35). ðï ÷é- äéíïíõ äéóëõ óïìîãá ðòïèïäéìï äï 10 çòõðð ðñôåî (AR13615– ïþåîø âïìøûïê ðìïýáäé), éú îéè 4 âùìé ÷ àöîïí ðïìõûáòéé. îá óìåäõàýåê îåäåìå ðñôîïïâòáúï÷áôåìøîáñ áëôé÷îïóôø ïöéäáåôóñ îá îéúëïí é óòåäîåí õòï÷îñè. óòåäîåå ïöéäáåíïå úîáþåîéå þéóìá óïìîåþîùè ðñôåî W = 080+40/-40 úá ðåòéïä. ÷óðùûåþîáñ áëôé÷îïóôø âùìá îá ÷ùóïëïí, óòåäîåí é îéúëïí õòï÷îñè. ÷ ôåþåîéå îåäåìé îáâìàäáìéóø 1 ÷óðùûëá òåîôçåîï÷óëïçï ëìáóóá X, 17 ÷óðùûåë ëìáóóá í, éú îéè ôòé âïìøûéè (>M5), 106 – ëìáóóá ó, 2 ÷ùâòïóá óïìîåþîùè ÷ïìïëïî é 33 ëïòïîáìøîùè ÷ùâòïóá ÷åýåóô÷á, éú ëïôïòùè 4 âùìé ôéðá II (ÕÇÌÏ×ÁÑ ÛÉÒÉÎÁ 90-180 ÇÒÁÄ). --------------------------------------------------------------------------- ÷óðùûëé âáììï÷ ïô í1 (É ÏÔÄÅÌØÎÙÅ ÚÎÁÞÉÍÙÅ ×ÓÐÙÛËÉ ÍÅÎØÛÅÇÏ ÂÁÌÌÁ): to tm te ËÏÏÒÄÉÎÁÔÙ ÂÁÌÌ å(1-8A) AO RII/IV CME/to J/m-2 km/s 20240325 0637 0644 0648 S12W23L215 M4.5/SB 8.2E-03 13615 20240326 0028 0036 0040 S12W34L215 M1.9/SN 1.0E-03 13615 20240326 1011 1017 1024 S13W25L215 M1.0 5.2E-03 13615 20240326 1036 1043 1052 S11W34L215 M1.3 8.8E-03 13615 20240326 1255 1330 1349 S14W31L215 M1.9 3.8E-02 13615 20240326 1341 1346 1350 N18W75L252 M1.7 9.5E-03 13621 20240326 2143 2158 2207 S11W41L215 M1.6 1.4E-02 13615 20240327 0137 0144 0152 S10W43L215 M1.1/1F 1.2E-03 13615 20240327 0633 0641 0650 S14W39L215 M1.1/1N 1.2E-03 13615 20240328 0616 0629 0636 S14W51L215 M7.0/1N 3.7E-02 13615 20240328 1540 1556 1603 S15W54L215 M6.1 3.2E-02 13615 20240328 1921 1931 1938 S15W57L215 M1.2 9.9E-03 13615 20240328 2029 2056 2101 S16W61L215 X1.1/3B 1.3E-01 13615 II/2124 20240329 0217 0230 0249 S16W61L215 M3.2/SF 3.4E-02 13615 20240329 1822 1843 1904 S12W83L215 M1.0 3.9E-03 13615 20240329 1919 1934 1956 S15W72L215 M1.2/SF 2.3E-02 13615 20240330 2101 2116 2121 S12W88L215 M9.4 2.7E-01 13615 CME/2136 20240330 2248 2253 2307 S14W88L215 M4.5 13615 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ÷ùâòïóù óïìîåþîùè ÷ïìïëïî: Bó÷* to te localization l × ÇÒÁÄ. Fl AO CMEÔÉÐ/to 20240326 1405 DSF 13620 CME/1524 20240329 2012 2115 EPL 0.34 * - ×ÙÂÒÏÓÙ ÓÏÌÎÅÞÎÙÈ ×ÏÌÏËÏÎ (DSF, EPL) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- îá óìåäõàýåê îåäåìå ÷óðùûåþîáñ áëôé÷îïóôø ïöéäáåôóñ îá îéúëïí é óòåäîåí õòï÷îñè. îá ÷éäéíïí äéóëå óïìîãá îáâìàäáìéóø çåïüææåëôé÷îùå ëïòïîáìøîùå äùòù ó ëïïòäéîáôáíé: ÚÎÁË N ËÏÎÅà å ËÏÎÅà S ËÏÎÅà W ËÏÎÅà Sch ïëð R G KA CH + S23L159 S40L143 S41L148 S36L167 1.6% 31-01.04 1 - SDO, HINOTORI CH - N77L113 S10L097 S20L100 N23L122 5.2% 03-04.04 1 - SDO, HINOTORI Sch - ÐÌÏÝÁÄØ ëä × % ÐÌÏÝÁÄÉ ×ÉÄÉÍÏÊ ÐÏÌÕÓÆÅÒÙ ×ÂÌÉÚÉ ÃÅÎÔÒÁÌØÎÏÇÏ ÍÅÒÉÄÉÁÎÁ ÐÏ https://www.solarmonitor.org/; n/d - ÎÅÔ ÄÁÎÎÙÈ; ïëð - ÄÁÔÁ ×ÅÒÏÑÔÎÏÇÏ ÇÅÏÍÁÇÎÉÔÎÏÇÏ ×ÏÚÍÕÝÅÎÉÑ × ïëð; R - ×ÏÚÒÁÓÔ × ÏÂÏÒÏÔÁÈ óÏÌÎÃÁ; G(0-5)- ÇÅÏÍÁÇÎÉÔÎÁÑ ×ÏÚÍÕÝ£ÎÎÏÓÔØ ÎÁ ÐÒÏÛÌÏÍ ÏÂÏÒÏÔÅ (ÓÒÅÄÎÉÅ ÛÉÒÏÔÙ); A - ×ÏÚÍÕ- Ý£ÎÎÁÑ ÇÅÏÍÁÇÎÉÔÎÁÑ ÏÂÓÔÁÎÏ×ËÁ. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ó 25.03.2024/1600 UT úåíìñ îáèïäéôóñ ÷ "+" óåëôïòå íåöðìáîåôîïçï íáçîéôîïçï ðïìñ. óìåäõàýáñ óåëôïòîáñ çòáîéãá "+/-" ïöéäáåôóñ 04.04.2024. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- íáòô 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 íáòô Wus 163 149 114 101 79 60 50 F10.7 190 178 175 173 167 140 134 Xbcg C1.7 ó1.8 ó2.2 C2.3 C2.4 C1.9 C1.4 msh Sp 1540 1480 1270 1150 1090 930 110 N 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 IMF sign ± + + + ± + + pfu e>2 1.1E+6 2.1E+6 3.6E+6 5.5E+6 6.2E+6 1.2E+7 1.9E+6 GOES Ie>2 108 138 242 241 254 391 233 DSCOVR,ACE Ap 23 12 6 6 5 4 8 nT Dst -94 -65 nT KIOTO Amsc 19 13 5 6 5 3 10 nT IZMIRAN ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- IÅ>2 - ÐÉËÏ×ÙÊ ÐÏÔÏË ÜÌÅËÔÒÏÎÏ× Ó å>2 MeV × pfu (e/(cm2-sr-s)) × ÔÅÞÅÎÉÅ ÓÕÔÏË (ÓÏÂÙÔÉÑ Ó ÐÏÔÏËÏÍ >=1000 pfu); e>2 - ÎÁËÏÐÌÅÎÎÙÊ ÚÁ ÓÕÔËÉ ÐÏÔÏË ÜÌÅËÔÒÏÎÏ× ÎÁ ÇÅÏÓÔÁÃÉÏÎÁÒÎÙÈ ÏÒÂÉÔÁÈ ÐÏ ÄÁÎÎÙÍ GOES 18 × e/(cm2-sr-day). Pr>10 Mev: to 23.03/0430 UT, t1max 23/1800, Ip1max 956 pfu, t2max 24/1230, Ip2max 725 pfu, te 27.03/2000 ðïôïëï÷ üìåëôòïîï÷ ó å>2 MeV ÷ùûå õòï÷îñ 1000 PFU îå îáâìàäáìïóø. îá óìåäõàýåê îåäåìå ðïôïëï÷ üìåëôòïîï÷ ó å>2 MeV (>1000 PFU) îá çåïóéîèòïîîïê ïòâéôå îå ïöéäáåôóñ. úáëïîþéìáóø ðòïäïìöéôåìøîáñ õíåòåîîáñ íáçîéôîáñ âõòñ (G4, Ams=50, ÄÌÉÔ= 60 Þ) ðï äáîîùí ãåîôòá ÷ âïõìäåòå é íáìáñ íáçîéôîáñ âõòñ (G3, Ams = 46, ÄÌÉÔ. =27 Þ) ðï äáîîùí éúíéòáî, ëïôïòáñ ðòïéúïûìá 23-25.03 ðïóìå ðïóìå- äï÷áôåìøîïçï ÷ïúäåêóô÷éñ CME, ÷ùóïëïóëïòïóôîïçï ðïôïëá ïô ëïòïîáìøîïê äù- òù "-" ðïìñòîïóôé àöîïçï ðïìõûáòéñ é ðòéèïäá ë úåíìå íåöðìáîåôîïê õäáòîïê ÷ïìîù (SI-377 nT 24.03/1437 UT) ïô ÷óðùûëé ëìáóóá è1.1. ÷ ïóôá÷ûéêóñ ðå- òéïä çåïíáçîéôîáñ ïâóôáîï÷ëá éúíåîñìáóø ïô áëôé÷îïçï äï óðïëïêîïçï õòï÷îñ. îá óìåäõàýåê îåäåìå çåïíáçîéôîáñ ïâóôáîï÷ëá âõäåô íåîñôøóñ ïô óðïëïêîïê äï äï ÷ïúíõý³îîïê. 3-5.04 ÷ïúíïöîï çåïíáçîéôîïå ÷ïúíõýåîéå ÷ðìïôø äï õòï÷îñ íá- ìïê íáçîéôîïê âõòé (÷åòïñôîïóôø îå íåîåå 20%) ÷ òåúõìøôáôå ÷ïúäåêóô÷éñ ÷ùóï- ëïóëïòïóôîïçï ðïôïëá óïìîåþîïçï ÷åôòá ïô âïìøûïê ôòáîó-üë÷áôïòéáìøîïê ëïòï- îáìøîïê äùòù "+" ðïìñòîïóôé. ïâúïò é ðòïçîïú óïóôá÷ìåî ðï íáôåòéáìáí óìõöâù óïìîãá âïõìäåò, óûá http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ ãåîôòá óâïòá é ïâòáâïôëé óïìîåþîùè éîäåëóï÷, âòàóóåìø, âåìøçéñ http://sidc.oma.be/, éúíéòáî (ôòïéãë, òïóóéñ) http://www.izmiran.ru. ÷.î.éÛËÏ×, î.é.ìÅÂÅÄÅ×, í.î.ìÅÂÅÄÅ×